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Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 33.5% | 64.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $33.9k | ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 11.5% | 517.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $28.2k | ↗ |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 29.0% | 75.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $27.2k | ↗ |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 29.0% | 75.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $26.4k | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 35.0% | 364.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $26.1k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 6.3% | 931.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $25.9k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 11.5% | 517.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $24.5k | ↗ |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 9.5% | 3,024.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $23.7k | ↗ |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 279.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $22.1k | ↗ |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 21.5% | 264.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $21.4k | ↗ |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 6.5% | 5,341.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $21.4k | ↗ |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 1,293.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $20.0k | ↗ |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 17.5% | 1,178.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $19.9k | ↗ |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 21.5% | 264.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $19.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 28.5% | 187.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $19.1k | ↗ |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 11.5% | 517.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $18.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.7% | 1,022.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $17.8k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 39.5% | 288.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $16.7k | ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 18.5% | 116.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $16.7k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 15.9% | 370.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $16.6k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
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