Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

OpenAI IPO by...?

Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.

Provider end date 1 Jul 2027Liquidity $6.1kLifetime volume $5.1kSource Polymarket

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What actually has to happen?

Original terms

A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.

Original resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

THE MARKET’S VIEW

Two outcomes. One precise question.

Yes33.5%

33.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

No66.5%

66.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.33 / 0.34. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-22T09:30:08+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T09:28:56.979124Z

Keep the investment thesis separate

A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.

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