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Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Oklahoma enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the deadline; otherwise No. Enactment, not effectiveness, controls. Later failure to implement, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must prohibit by default approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities with requested or nameplate interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed. Suspension until a condition is satisfied qualifies. A conditional trigger must be objectively determinable, not left to agency findings, certifications, or completion of its proceedings. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, referendum approval, or another lawful mechanism. For voter measures, election day controls, as reflected in certified results.
Exclusions and exceptions
Local or partial-state moratoriums; suspensions only of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards; executive or agency orders and other nonstatutory, nonconstitutional measures; discretionary authority to impose a moratorium; or measures allowing projects by default subject to restrictions do not qualify. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. The operative text at enactment controls: provisions amended out beforehand or removed by line-item veto do not count unless that item's veto is overridden.
Timing & resolution
December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2028, at 04:59 UTC). The qualifying enactment must occur between market creation and this deadline; its effective date may be later.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity is apparent. Official Oklahoma state government information is the primary resolution source, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. For voter-approved measures, later certification or effectiveness does not change the election-day enactment date.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.21 / 0.22. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T13:00:06.462076Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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