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Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Oklahoma enacts a qualifying statewide data center moratorium between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No. Enactment, not the effective date, controls. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or a delayed effective date does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Conditions for a winning outcome
A statute or constitutional provision must generally prohibit by default approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers statewide, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW of interconnection capacity per facility (requested or nameplate). Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default. A suspension until a specified condition is met qualifies. A mandatory suspension triggered by a condition qualifies only if that condition is objectively determinable, not left to agency findings, certifications, or completion of its proceedings.
Exclusions and exceptions
Excluded: tax-incentive, exemption-certification, or economic-development-award suspensions alone; local or partial-state moratoriums; executive, agency, or other nonstatutory/nonconstitutional measures; mere discretionary authority to impose a moratorium; and permission subject to restrictions rather than default prohibition. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Text removed before enactment does not count, including an item vetoed unless overridden. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, or another lawful mechanism; operative text at enactment controls.
Timing & resolution
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC). For voter-approved statutes, amendments, or referendums, enactment is the approval election day shown in certified results, regardless of certification or effective date.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity is apparent. Official Oklahoma state-government information is the primary resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.16 / 0.17. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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