Artificial intelligence Open at last refresh
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if, from market creation through the deadline, Ohio enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers; otherwise No. Enactment, not the effective date, controls. Later implementation failure, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or a later effective date does not change the result.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must prohibit by default approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW of requested or nameplate interconnection capacity per facility, statewide. Specific exemptions are allowed. It must be mandatory, not discretionary. A triggering condition must be objectively determinable, not left to agency findings, certifications, or proceedings. A suspension until a condition is met can qualify. Enactment includes signature, veto override, law without signature, or other lawful mechanisms. Voter measures count on approval election day per certified results, regardless of certification date.
Exclusions and exceptions
Suspending tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone does not qualify. Neither do local or geographically limited moratoriums, executive or agency orders, or other nonstatutory/nonconstitutional measures. Permission subject to restrictions is not a default prohibition. Merely authorizing a discretionary moratorium does not qualify. Legislative passage or an announced intent to sign is insufficient. Text removed before enactment does not count; a line-item-vetoed provision counts only if that veto is overridden.
Timing & resolution
December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2029, at 04:59 UTC). The enactment must occur between market creation and this deadline.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity identified. Official Ohio government information is the primary resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.28 / 0.29. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
Explore more artificial intelligence →