INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 8.5% | 688.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $578.3k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 127.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $142.3k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 14.5% | 140.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $92.7k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 6.5% | 886.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $48.6k | ↗ |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 560.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $29.2k | ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 560.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $28.5k | ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 15.5% | 133.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $24.6k | ↗ |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 19.5% | 110.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $22.7k | ↗ |
| France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 5.0% | 1,129.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $8.1k | ↗ |
| Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 8.5% | 688.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $7.4k | ↗ |
| Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 14.0% | 144.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $3.6k | ↗ |
| Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 36.0% | 339.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $877 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 1,020.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $689 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 43.5% | 234.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $642 | ↗ |
| Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 46.5% | 70.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2028 | $108 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗