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Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,770.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $13.4k | ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 18.5% | 116.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $14.0k | ↗ |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 19.5% | 992.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $14.2k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 39.5% | 289.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $15.2k | ↗ |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 87.5% | 11.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2027 | $15.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 21.0% | 272.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $16.1k | ↗ |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 144.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $17.2k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.3% | 1,095.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $17.3k | ↗ |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 11.5% | 517.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $18.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 17.5% | 334.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $18.9k | ↗ |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 1,294.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $19.1k | ↗ |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 9.5% | 3,027.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $22.8k | ↗ |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 6.5% | 5,348.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $22.9k | ↗ |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 1,294.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $23.4k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 566.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $23.7k | ↗ |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 29.0% | 76.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $26.0k | ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 11.5% | 517.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $27.0k | ↗ |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 21.5% | 264.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $28.9k | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 35.0% | 364.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $29.5k | ↗ |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 279.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $30.2k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
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