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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 144.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $16.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 22.8% | 247.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $16.5k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 11.0% | 540.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $16.3k | ↗ |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 87.5% | 11.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2027 | $15.3k | ↗ |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 37.5% | 128.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $14.2k | ↗ |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 19.5% | 991.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $14.2k | ↗ |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,769.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $13.8k | ↗ |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 355.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $13.6k | ↗ |
| Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 2,598.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $13.3k | ↗ |
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 15.5% | 1,427.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $13.2k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 35.7% | 138.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $13.2k | ↗ |
| Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 87.5% | 11.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2027 | $12.4k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 58.5% | 57.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.2k | ↗ |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 64.5% | 44.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.8k | ↗ |
| Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 17.0% | 1,234.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $11.6k | ↗ |
| Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 15.0% | 1,502.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $11.6k | ↗ |
| Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,769.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $11.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 6.3% | 931.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.5k | ↗ |
| Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 12.5% | 1,991.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $11.2k | ↗ |
| Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 15.5% | 1,427.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $11.1k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
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