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Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 7.0% | 837.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $5.0k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 6.6% | 891.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $5.0k | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 73.7% | 29.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $4.5k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 16.0% | 1,358.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $4.4k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 22.1% | 256.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $4.4k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 63.7% | 46.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $4.3k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 287.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.9k | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 952.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $3.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 26.0% | 210.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.8k | ↗ |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 39.0% | 775.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Mar 2027 | $3.7k | ↗ |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 14.5% | 1,584.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $3.3k | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 64.5% | 44.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.3k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 10.2% | 585.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.1k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 79.0% | 41.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.9k | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 93.5% | 10.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.8k | ↗ |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 67.5% | 77.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.6k | ↗ |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 374.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 54.4% | 66.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.5k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 28.5% | 526.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.4k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 55.0% | 139.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.4k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
return calculations
Anthropic IPO predictions
Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
Check the listing deadline, valuation measure and treatment of a delayed IPO.
View OpenAI IPO contracts ↗Annualized return calculation
See how entry price, costs and payout timing affect the return if a contract wins.
Read the return methodology ↗