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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 64.8% | 44.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $4.4k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 79.5% | 39.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $4.3k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 18.0% | 1,127.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $4.1k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 8.3% | 716.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $4.0k | ↗ |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 39.0% | 774.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Mar 2027 | $3.9k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 21.5% | 264.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 29.5% | 179.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.7k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 56.0% | 133.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $3.6k | ↗ |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 14.5% | 1,583.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $3.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.8% | 998.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.2k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.2k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 85.6% | 14.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.8k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 6.0% | 967.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.8k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 566.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.7k | ↗ |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 27.0% | 578.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.7k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 37.5% | 128.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 1,293.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.4k | ↗ |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 88.0% | 11.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 81.0% | 36.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.2k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 37.0% | 130.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.2k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
return calculations
Anthropic IPO predictions
Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
Check the listing deadline, valuation measure and treatment of a delayed IPO.
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See how entry price, costs and payout timing affect the return if a contract wins.
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