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Prediction Market Screener
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Find prediction contracts on companies, the economy and geopolitics. Compare deadlines, liquidity and annualized returns if your selected outcome wins.

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● 502 contracts in the catalogue
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224 matching contractsExtreme odds hidden (outside 5%–95%) · returns assume a win · before fees
Contract / theme Selected outcome Price Annualized
if win · gross
End date Liquidity Details
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes34.5%374.1%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$2.3k↗
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes64.5%89.9%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$2.2k↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes54.5%142.9%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$2.2k↗
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes14.5%1,584.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$2.1k↗
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes37.0%328.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$2.1k↗
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes86.0%24.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$2.0k↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
IPOs & valuations · Polymarket
Yes52.0%73.4%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$2.0k↗
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes35.5%354.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.9k↗
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes81.0%36.1%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.8k↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes85.5%25.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.7k↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes29.5%496.1%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.7k↗
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes12.0%2,121.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.7k↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
IPOs & valuations · Polymarket
Yes30.5%171.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.7k↗
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?
IPOs & valuations · Polymarket
Yes84.4%15.4%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.6k↗
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes95.0%7.8%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.6k↗
Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by January 31, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes6.0%>9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Feb 2027$1.6k↗
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Company milestones · Polymarket
Yes37.5%128.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.5k↗
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes72.0%61.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.4k↗
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?
IPOs & valuations · Polymarket
Yes6.5%898.2%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.4k↗
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
Artificial intelligence · Polymarket
Yes16.5%1,294.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$1.3k↗

A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →

IPO contracts and
return calculations

Anthropic IPO predictions

Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.

View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗

OpenAI IPO predictions

Check the listing deadline, valuation measure and treatment of a delayed IPO.

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Annualized return calculation

See how entry price, costs and payout timing affect the return if a contract wins.

Read the return methodology ↗