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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.1% | 2,496.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $445 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 10.4% | 568.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $438 | ↗ |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 19.5% | 294.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $409 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 9,360.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $401 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 21.8% | 259.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $395 | ↗ |
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 44.5% | 223.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $384 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 560.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $383 | ↗ |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 10.4% | 2,583.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $380 | ↗ |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 14.0% | 419.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $373 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 4.0% | 1,398.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $355 | ↗ |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 19.0% | 302.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $352 | ↗ |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | SpaceX | 77.7% | 23.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $352 | ↗ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 57.5% | 123.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $349 | ↗ |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 8.0% | 734.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $328 | ↗ |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 15.5% | 378.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $320 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 7.4% | 790.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $307 | ↗ |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.0% | 1,140.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $306 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 30.8% | 168.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $288 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 24.6% | 223.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $288 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 23.5% | 237.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $286 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
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