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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? Company milestones · Polymarket | OpenAI | 58.0% | 57.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $642 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.7% | 1,993.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $638 | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 40.0% | 115.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $635 | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 8.2% | 712.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $597 | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 12.6% | 467.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $589 | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 8.3% | 708.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $577 | ↗ |
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement? Company milestones · Polymarket | OpenAI | 46.5% | 89.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $577 | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 27.5% | 550.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $568 | ↗ |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 66.0% | 82.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $567 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 41.5% | 258.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $558 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $553 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 1,022.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $540 | ↗ |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 285.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $535 | ↗ |
| Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 40.5% | 271.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $526 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 45.5% | 93.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $500 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 35.5% | 138.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $493 | ↗ |
| 1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 42.5% | 104.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $478 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 5.4% | 1,062.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $448 | ↗ |
| Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 33.0% | 735.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 May 2027 | $443 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.3% | 2,301.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $425 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
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Anthropic IPO predictions
Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
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