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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 61.0% | 69.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Oct 2027 | $882 | ↗ |
| Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 3.8% | 1,447.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $866 | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 14.5% | 7,939.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $851 | ↗ |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 66.0% | 82.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $835 | ↗ |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 66.0% | 82.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $830 | ↗ |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 87.9% | 20.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $790 | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 42.0% | 106.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $787 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.7% | 6,285.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $782 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 1,022.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $747 | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 8.2% | 712.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $737 | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 49.5% | 80.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $732 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 41.5% | 258.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $732 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 5.2% | 1,090.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $724 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.8% | 5,927.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $721 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 3.3% | 1,642.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $694 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,165.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $694 | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 21.5% | 262.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $691 | ↗ |
| Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 33.0% | 735.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 May 2027 | $688 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 4.6% | 1,219.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $688 | ↗ |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 16.5% | 352.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $681 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
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Anthropic IPO predictions
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