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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Mar 2027 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 9.7% | 605.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 22.0% | 798.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 5.2% | 1,090.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 37.5% | 127.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 9.5% | 618.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 68.5% | 37.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,164.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.3% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Up | 89.0% | 18.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.4k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.9% | 1,813.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 3.3% | 1,641.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 32.5% | 156.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.1% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 29.5% | 178.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,164.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.3k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.9% | 1,813.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.2k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 2.9% | 1,813.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.2k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 4.5% | 1,243.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.2k | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 14.0% | 419.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.2k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
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