INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 97.8% | 3.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.2k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 3.2% | 1,687.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.2k | ↗ |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 1.3% | 3,700.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 88.0% | 11.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.1% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,163.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 71.5% | 32.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 50.5% | 77.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 84.5% | 15.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.4% | 1,053.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 4.6% | 1,220.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2027 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.1% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.9k | ↗ |
| Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,163.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.8k | ↗ |
| Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,163.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.7k | ↗ |
| Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.3% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.7k | ↗ |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $1.7k | ↗ |
| Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.3% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.6k | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 41.5% | 108.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.6k | ↗ |
| Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.3% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.6k | ↗ |
| Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.3% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.6k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗