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Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 41.0% | 111.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $473 | ↗ |
| Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 22.0% | 3,160.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $476 | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 90.9% | 15.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $478 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 48.0% | 192.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $488 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 9.0% | 655.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $512 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 35.5% | 354.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $565 | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 28.5% | 526.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $579 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 53.5% | 149.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $599 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 41.0% | 111.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $611 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 22.5% | 785.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $642 | ↗ |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 88.0% | 11.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $645 | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 72.0% | 61.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $661 | ↗ |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? Financial health · Polymarket | Yes | 34.5% | 374.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $661 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 15.0% | 1,502.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $669 | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 64.0% | 61.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Oct 2027 | $709 | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 41.0% | 268.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $713 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 26.1% | 209.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $749 | ↗ |
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? Company milestones · Polymarket | OpenAI | 58.0% | 58.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $771 | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 47.0% | 88.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $777 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 44.5% | 226.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $780 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
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Anthropic IPO predictions
Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
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