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INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.

Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.

Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.

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Then consider the return.
3 months–3 years by default
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● 375 contracts in the catalogue
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375 matching contractsIndicative prices · returns assume a win · before fees
Contract / themeSelected outcomePriceAnnualized
if win · gross
End dateLiquidityDetails
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Emerging themes · Polymarket
Yes20.5%>9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100%27 Jan 2027$12.1k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Poland by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.5%8,358.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$12.0k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Finland by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.5%8,358.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.5%8,358.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.9k↗
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes10.0%2,717.8%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$11.8k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes9.0%651.5%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.8k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes1.5%3,367.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.7k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.8%5,922.8%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.7k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another European country by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes1.1%4,270.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.6k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in India by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes1.6%3,178.9%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.6k↗
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes15.0%389.9%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.5k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes1.0%4,633.1%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.5k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.5%7,709.4%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.4k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Vatican City by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.2%>9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.4k↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
IPOs & valuations · Polymarket
Yes60.0%53.4%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.4k↗
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Emerging themes · Polymarket
Yes13.5%1,723.6%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$11.3k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Italy by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,138.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.3k↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
IPOs & valuations · Polymarket
Yes43.2%102.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.3k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,138.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Azerbaijan by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,138.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗

A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →

GO BEYOND THE NUMBER

The condition matters
as much as the price.

01 / COMPANY VALUATIONS

Anthropic IPO

Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.

Explore the contracts ↗
02 / CORPORATE MILESTONES

OpenAI IPO

Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.

Explore the contracts ↗
03 / INVESTOR TOOLKIT

Annualized, explained

Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.

Understand the calculation ↗