INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | 9,137.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $13.3k | ↗ |
| Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | 2,525.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $13.3k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | 9,137.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $13.0k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 1.1% | 4,443.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $13.0k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.5% | 7,708.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $13.0k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | 9,137.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.9k | ↗ |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,723.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $12.9k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | 9,137.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | 9,137.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 11.5% | 512.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.6k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 1.1% | 4,269.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 60.0% | 53.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 1.6% | 3,178.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $12.0k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 0.5% | 8,357.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.9k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Poland by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 0.5% | 8,357.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.9k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Finland by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 0.5% | 8,357.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.8k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 1.5% | 3,367.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.7k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 0.8% | 5,922.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.7k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 9.0% | 651.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.7k | ↗ |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another European country by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 1.1% | 4,269.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $11.5k | ↗ |
Page 5 of 19
A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗