INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 66.0% | 41.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $23.6k | ↗ |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? Stocks & indices · Polymarket | Yes | 27.5% | 194.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $23.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 3.4% | 1,597.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $22.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.1% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $22.2k | ↗ |
| Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 24.5% | 224.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $21.4k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 7.4% | 785.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $21.2k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.2% | 2,344.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $21.0k | ↗ |
| US recession by end of 2027? Economy & rates · Polymarket | Yes | 35.0% | 141.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2027 | $20.7k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.1% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $20.5k | ↗ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 21.0% | 860.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $19.8k | ↗ |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 19.5% | 969.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $19.7k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 21.1% | 268.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $19.6k | ↗ |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 9.5% | 2,934.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $19.1k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 3.6% | 1,518.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $19.0k | ↗ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? Geopolitics · Polymarket | Yes | 8.5% | 3,465.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $18.8k | ↗ |
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 18.5% | 1,054.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $18.8k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 1.1% | 4,442.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $18.3k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 8.0% | 729.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $18.3k | ↗ |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 6.5% | 5,159.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $18.2k | ↗ |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 931.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $17.9k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗