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Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.3% | 97.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 7.0% | 822.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.3k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.3% | 1,080.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.1k | ↗ |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.1% | 2,442.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.1k | ↗ |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 277.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.0k | ↗ |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 3.8% | 1,464.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.0k | ↗ |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 6.5% | 886.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.9k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 6.1% | 940.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.8k | ↗ |
| Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.3% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 30.0% | 174.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.5k | ↗ |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 5.0% | 1,129.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 2.4% | 2,213.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.2k | ↗ |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.1% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.2k | ↗ |
| Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,160.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 4.7% | 1,194.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 1.0% | 4,840.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 1.1% | 4,269.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 88.0% | 11.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 54.0% | 67.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,160.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.9k | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗