INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 50.5% | 77.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $83.4k | ↗ |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 6.5% | 5,160.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $18.2k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 2.3% | 2,255.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $6.3k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 21.3% | 264.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.5k | ↗ |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 73.0% | 30.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $3.0k | ↗ |
| Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 9.5% | 618.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.7k | ↗ |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 16.8% | 345.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.1k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 3.1% | 1,759.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 7.7% | 756.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $2.0k | ↗ |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 36.5% | 132.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.6k | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 26.0% | 209.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.6k | ↗ |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 86.7% | 23.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.6k | ↗ |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 61.5% | 50.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 37.5% | 127.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 75.0% | 51.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.4k | ↗ |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 27.6% | 194.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.1k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 32.5% | 156.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $1.0k | ↗ |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 66.0% | 82.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $968 | ↗ |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 65.5% | 84.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $851 | ↗ |
| Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 3.8% | 1,446.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $843 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗