SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

Provider end date; confirm observation window in the rules.

Provider end date 1 Jan 2028Liquidity $3.0kLifetime volume $1.0kSource Polymarket

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What actually has to happen?

Original terms

A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.

Original resolution rules

On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.

THE MARKET’S VIEW

Two outcomes. One precise question.

Yes73.0%

73.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

No27.0%

27.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.65 / 0.81. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-22T09:45:02+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T09:30:57.384082Z

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