Yes9.5%
Company milestones Open at last refresh
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
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What actually has to happen?
A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Tesla has delivered at least one Roadster to a qualifying customer by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Roadster" refers to the next-generation Tesla Roadster unveiled on November 16, 2017, in any trim or edition, including the Founders Series, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the Roadster. The original Tesla Roadster produced from 2008 to 2012 will not qualify.
A delivery means the physical handover of a production vehicle to a qualifying customer, in any region. A qualifying customer must be a member of the general public, including a reservation holder, who has purchased the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Deliveries to Tesla or SpaceX employees, executives, directors, or their family members, to subsidiaries or internal entities, or for promotional, testing, demonstration, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify. A single handover to a recipient selected by Tesla outside its public order or reservation process (for example a celebrity delivery ahead of deliveries to reservation holders) will not qualify.
Unveilings, demonstrations, test rides, prototype displays, announced delivery dates, and production announcements will not qualify on their own; a completed delivery meeting the above criteria must occur within this market's timeframe.
Confirmation of the delivery must occur within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
THE MARKET’S VIEW
Two outcomes. One precise question.
No90.5%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.07 / 0.12. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T09:45:05+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T09:22:58.555745Z
Keep the investment thesis separate
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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