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INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.

Geopolitical outcomes. Investor context.

Explore the available contracts, separate the outcomes and read what actually qualifies.

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Then consider the return.
3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Geopolitics belongs in an investor’s research. Explore Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, trade routes and geopolitical turning points. These contracts describe events, not a guaranteed effect on stock or commodity returns.

THE SCREENER

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● 375 contracts in the catalogue
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59 matching contractsIndicative prices · returns assume a win · before fees
Contract / themeSelected outcomePriceAnnualized
if win · gross
End dateLiquidityDetails
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Italy by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.2k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Egypt by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$11.0k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Azerbaijan by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Serbia by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Ukraine by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.1%>9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Brazil by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Slovakia by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Hungary by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.5%8,356.9%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.9k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Austria by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.4%9,137.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.8k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes0.5%7,708.0%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.7k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Germany by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes1.0%4,840.2%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$10.6k↗
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes10.0%2,717.1%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$3.5k↗
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes28.5%186.1%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$2.7k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes3.0%1,785.7%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.7k↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes32.5%156.3%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.5k↗
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes3.1%1,759.8%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jan 2028$1.3k↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
Geopolitics · Polymarket
Yes55.0%137.9%Loss if zero payout: 100%1 Jul 2027$370↗

A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →

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Anthropic IPO

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OpenAI IPO

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03 / INVESTOR TOOLKIT

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