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3 months remainingPolymarket data · refreshed every 15 minutes
Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 279.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $77 | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 28.0% | 543.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $70 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on the NYSE? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 12.7% | 470.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $66 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ? Stocks & indices · Polymarket | Yes | 90.0% | 9.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $66 | ↗ |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 70.5% | 66.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $56 | ↗ |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 84.0% | 29.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $36 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be at least $450B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $33 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be between $400B and $450B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $32 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $32 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $31 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $31 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 43.5% | 101.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $30 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 43.5% | 101.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $30 | ↗ |
| Will Databricks’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 44.0% | 99.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $29 | ↗ |
| Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 49.5% | 1,223.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Jan 2027 | $28 | ↗ |
| Will Person AI win the next Serbia presidential election? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 279.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 2 May 2027 | $0 | ↗ |
| Will Person AI be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 79.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2027 | $0 | ↗ |
| Will Person AI be the next Prime Minister of Greece? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 151.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 26 Jul 2027 | $0 | ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Person AI in the 2028 U.S. presidential election? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 40.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 6 Nov 2028 | $0 | ↗ |
| Will Candidate AI win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 74.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 22 Jan 2028 | $0 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
return calculations
Anthropic IPO predictions
Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
Check the listing deadline, valuation measure and treatment of a delayed IPO.
View OpenAI IPO contracts ↗Annualized return calculation
See how entry price, costs and payout timing affect the return if a contract wins.
Read the return methodology ↗