Will Candidate AI win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
Provider end date; confirm observation window in the rules.
Provider end date 22 Jan 2028Liquidity $0Lifetime volume $0Source Polymarket
Contract resolution rules
Original terms
A plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.
Original resolution rules
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Yes50.0%
50.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No50.0%
50.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0 / 1. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.