INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 6.0% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 27 Jan 2027 | $6.9k | ↗ |
| Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 3.8% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 27 Jan 2027 | $6.8k | ↗ |
| Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 1.2% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 27 Jan 2027 | $6.7k | ↗ |
| Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 2.5% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 27 Jan 2027 | $6.7k | ↗ |
| Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 9.2% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 27 Jan 2027 | $6.3k | ↗ |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 88.0% | 27.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 May 2027 | $2.7k | ↗ |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 98.2% | 2.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.5k | ↗ |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 97.8% | 3.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $2.2k | ↗ |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Up | 89.0% | 18.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.8k | ↗ |
| Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 10.5% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Mar 2027 | $1.5k | ↗ |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 3.2% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $1.1k | ↗ |
| Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 70.0% | 124.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $918 | ↗ |
| 1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 42.5% | 104.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $477 | ↗ |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 285.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $460 | ↗ |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 10.4% | 2,580.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $380 | ↗ |
| Will Troy Rohrbaugh be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 22.5% | 97.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $17 | ↗ |
| Will Doug Petno be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 48.5% | 39.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $5 | ↗ |
| Will Marianne Lake be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 50.5% | 36.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2029 | $4 | ↗ |
| Will Candidate A be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 37.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2028 | $0 | ↗ |
| Will Candidate B be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Emerging themes · Polymarket | Yes | 50.0% | 37.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Dec 2028 | $0 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗