INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic list on another exchange? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 4.0% | 1,382.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $335 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 24.3% | 226.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $294 | ↗ |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 30.5% | 459.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $201 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on the NYSE? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 10.0% | 588.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $74 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗