INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.6% | 7,159.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $839 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 32.5% | 156.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $826 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 5.1% | 1,099.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $826 | ↗ |
| UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 13.0% | 1,825.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $795 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.8% | 5,921.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $697 | ↗ |
| Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by March 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 64.0% | 175.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $694 | ↗ |
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? Company milestones · Polymarket | OpenAI | 58.0% | 57.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $616 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 0.4% | >9,999%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $615 | ↗ |
| Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 42.5% | 245.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $598 | ↗ |
| Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 33.0% | 734.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 May 2027 | $576 | ↗ |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 68.5% | 136.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $508 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 5.6% | 1,018.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $507 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 45.5% | 93.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $503 | ↗ |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by June 30, 2027? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 87.6% | 21.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $469 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 23.5% | 236.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $447 | ↗ |
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement? Company milestones · Polymarket | OpenAI | 46.5% | 89.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $430 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on another exchange? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 4.1% | 1,366.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $418 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 25.3% | 216.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $409 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 40.3% | 114.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $380 | ↗ |
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 43.5% | 234.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $373 | ↗ |
Page 2 of 3
A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗