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3 months remainingPolymarket data · refreshed every 15 minutes
Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 33.7% | 150.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $255 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.5% | 275.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $250 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 51.0% | 167.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $247 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 458.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Oct 2027 | $233 | ↗ |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.5% | 2,663.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Jan 2027 | $224 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on another exchange? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 8.4% | 704.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $208 | ↗ |
| Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 47.5% | 1,430.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $196 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 54.5% | 304.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $175 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 58.0% | 636.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $172 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 70.5% | 34.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $171 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,770.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $160 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 59.0% | 116.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $156 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 915.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $150 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 41.0% | 268.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $141 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.0% | 2,772.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $128 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 35.5% | 354.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $125 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 56.5% | 130.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $118 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 18.0% | 1,130.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $107 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 42.0% | 255.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $106 | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 287.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $94 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
return calculations
Anthropic IPO predictions
Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
Check the listing deadline, valuation measure and treatment of a delayed IPO.
View OpenAI IPO contracts ↗Annualized return calculation
See how entry price, costs and payout timing affect the return if a contract wins.
Read the return methodology ↗