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3 months remainingPolymarket data · refreshed every 15 minutes
Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 21.0% | 880.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $241 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.5% | 275.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $236 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 458.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Oct 2027 | $233 | ↗ |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 32.5% | 157.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $223 | ↗ |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 38.5% | 3,229.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Jan 2027 | $215 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on another exchange? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 8.4% | 704.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $208 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,770.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $192 | ↗ |
| Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 47.5% | 1,430.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $180 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 47.0% | 201.9%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $177 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 54.5% | 304.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $175 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 58.0% | 636.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $172 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 70.5% | 34.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $168 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 915.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $150 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 41.0% | 268.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $136 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.0% | 2,773.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $128 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 56.5% | 130.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $116 | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 21.0% | 880.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $111 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 18.0% | 1,130.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $107 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 42.0% | 255.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $106 | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 287.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $98 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
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