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3 months remainingPolymarket data · refreshed every 15 minutes
Original resolution rules on each contract
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| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.5% | 279.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $79 | ↗ |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 18.0% | 1,129.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 30 Jun 2027 | $88 | ↗ |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $2T? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 287.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $92 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on the NYSE? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 43.5% | 101.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $96 | ↗ |
| Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 60.0% | 549.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $103 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 41.5% | 261.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $111 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 56.5% | 130.4%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $119 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 21.0% | 879.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $125 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.0% | 2,766.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $128 | ↗ |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 41.0% | 268.3%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $137 | ↗ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 952.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $143 | ↗ |
| Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by February 28, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 67.0% | 214.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Mar 2027 | $159 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by June 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 13.5% | 1,769.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $161 | ↗ |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 35.5% | 354.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $162 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 55.5% | 287.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Apr 2027 | $166 | ↗ |
| Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 58.0% | 635.1%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $171 | ↗ |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 70.5% | 34.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $182 | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic list on another exchange? Company milestones · Polymarket | Yes | 8.4% | 704.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $206 | ↗ |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? Artificial intelligence · Polymarket | Yes | 40.5% | 2,657.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 31 Jan 2027 | $224 | ↗ |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027? IPOs & valuations · Polymarket | Yes | 20.0% | 458.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Oct 2027 | $230 | ↗ |
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A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
IPO contracts and
return calculations
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Compare IPO deadlines and valuation conditions in the available Anthropic contracts.
View Anthropic IPO contracts ↗OpenAI IPO predictions
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