INVESTMENT THESES. MEASURABLE OUTCOMES.
Prediction Market Screener
for Investors.
Discover the events behind your thesis—from company milestones to geopolitical turning points.
↗Research the rules.
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
Then consider the return.3 months–3 years by default
Independent · Source-linked · No trade execution
THE SCREENER
Find your next research question.
| Contract / theme | Selected outcome | Price | Annualized if win · gross | End date | Liquidity | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Mergers & acquisitions · Polymarket | Yes | 67.5% | 39.0%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $27.5k | ↗ |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Mergers & acquisitions · Polymarket | Yes | 55.5% | 134.8%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $21.1k | ↗ |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? Mergers & acquisitions · Polymarket | Yes | 35.5% | 1,740.5%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Mar 2027 | $17.6k | ↗ |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? Mergers & acquisitions · Polymarket | Yes | 30.0% | 7,400.7%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Feb 2027 | $12.7k | ↗ |
| Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by December 31, 2027? Mergers & acquisitions · Polymarket | Yes | 59.0% | 55.6%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jan 2028 | $920 | ↗ |
| Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by June 30, 2027? Mergers & acquisitions · Polymarket | Yes | 45.5% | 213.2%Loss if zero payout: 100% | 1 Jul 2027 | $663 | ↗ |
Page 1 of 1
A high conditional return is not evidence of an attractive investment. Low-priced outcomes often have large potential losses relative to their chance of winning. Provider end dates may differ from observation windows and actual payout dates. Read the methodology →
GO BEYOND THE NUMBER
The condition matters
as much as the price.
Anthropic IPO
Offering price or first-day close? Know which question you’re answering.
Explore the contracts ↗02 / CORPORATE MILESTONESOpenAI IPO
Timing, valuation and no-IPO outcomes—each with its own rules.
Explore the contracts ↗03 / INVESTOR TOOLKITAnnualized, explained
Compare holding periods without confusing potential payoff with expected return.
Understand the calculation ↗