Yes24.5%
Financial health Open at last refresh
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves to Yes if CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029, via official channels or credible reporting consensus. No announcement or filing by deadline resolves to No.
Conditions for a winning outcome
Resolves to Yes if CoreWeave announces it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029. The announcement must be made through any official or verified channel, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team officially representing CoreWeave. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used. An announcement suffices regardless of whether the actual filing occurs.
Exclusions and exceptions
Resolves to No if no such announcement is made by the deadline, or if the announcement is made after 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029. Announcements through unofficial channels or by individuals not officially representing CoreWeave do not qualify unless corroborated by a definitive consensus of credible reporting.
Timing & resolution
The deadline is 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029. The provider end date of 2030-01-01T04:59:00Z corresponds to 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 (ET is UTC-5, so 04:59 UTC on Jan 1 equals 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31). These are equivalent timestamps, not an ambiguity.
Ambiguities in the rules
No concrete ambiguity is flagged. The rules clearly define the announcement requirement, acceptable channels, and the use of credible reporting consensus. The deadline is unambiguous when treating ET and UTC timestamps as equivalent.
AI-assisted explanation reviewed against this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CoreWeave announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents CoreWeave. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
No75.5%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.24 / 0.25. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T17:45:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T17:43:00.368425Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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