Yes28.0%
Financial health Open at last refresh
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves to Yes if NuScale announces bankruptcy filing by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029. Announcement suffices regardless of actual filing. Must be via official channels or credible reporting consensus.
Conditions for a winning outcome
Resolves to Yes if NuScale announces it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the deadline. An announcement suffices regardless of whether the actual filing occurs or when. The announcement must be made through any of NuScale's official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team officially representing NuScale. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used to establish the announcement.
Exclusions and exceptions
Resolves to No if no such announcement is made by the deadline, or if the announcement is made through unofficial or unverified channels without a definitive consensus of credible reporting. Mere speculation, rumors, or unofficial statements not corroborated by credible reporting do not qualify. If the announcement is later retracted or denied, the market still resolves based on the initial announcement if it meets the criteria.
Timing & resolution
11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029. The provider end date is 2030-01-01T04:59:00Z, which is equivalent to 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 (ET is UTC-5, so 11:59 PM ET = 04:59 UTC next day). No ambiguity.
Ambiguities in the rules
No concrete ambiguities. The rules clearly define the event (bankruptcy announcement), the source (official channels or credible reporting consensus), and the deadline. The exception that announcement suffices regardless of actual filing is preserved. No-event/tie treatment is not applicable as the binary outcomes cover all possibilities.
AI-assisted explanation reviewed against this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents NuScale. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
No72.0%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.27 / 0.29. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T17:45:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T17:43:00.368425Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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