Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Provider end date 1 Jul 2027Liquidity $905Lifetime volume $2.9kSource Polymarket
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What actually has to happen?
Original terms
A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation, or its rating on Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt, to below investment grade ("junk") by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
"Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating or Moody's Ratings' long-term issuer rating on Oracle Corporation. "Below investment grade" means BB+ or lower on the S&P Global Ratings scale, or Ba1 or lower on the Moody's Ratings scale.
A downgrade of Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt to below investment grade by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation remains investment grade.
A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
THE MARKET’S VIEW
Two outcomes. One precise question.
Yes36.0%
36.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No64.0%
64.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.35 / 0.37. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.