Yes26.5%
Financial health Open at last refresh
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves to Yes if Payward announces bankruptcy (any variety) by Dec 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Announcement suffices regardless of actual filing. Must be via official/verified channels by authorized representatives. Credible reporting consensus may also establish the event.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The contract resolves to Yes if Payward announces it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the deadline. The announcement must be made through any of Payward's official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team that officially represents Payward. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used to establish the announcement.
Exclusions and exceptions
The contract resolves to No if no such announcement is made by the deadline, or if the announcement does not come from an official or verified channel or is not made by an authorized representative. A lack of definitive consensus of credible reporting also results in No. The contract does not require an actual bankruptcy filing; only the announcement matters.
Timing & resolution
The announcement must occur by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. The provider end date is 2030-01-01T04:59:00Z, which is equivalent to 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2029 (ET is UTC-5, so 11:59 PM ET = 04:59 UTC Jan 1).
Ambiguities in the rules
No concrete ambiguity: the source clearly defines the event (announcement of bankruptcy), the deadline (Dec 31, 2029 11:59 PM ET), the required channels (official/verified), authorized representatives, and the alternative use of credible reporting consensus. No missing details or hypothetical ties are present.
AI-assisted explanation reviewed against this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Payward announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Payward. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
No73.5%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.25 / 0.28. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T17:45:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T17:43:00.368425Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
Explore more financial health →