Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.

Provider end date 1 Apr 2027Liquidity $1.7kLifetime volume $2.3kSource Polymarket

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What actually has to happen?

Original terms

A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.

Original resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

THE MARKET’S VIEW

Two outcomes. One precise question.

Yes10.5%

10.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

No89.5%

89.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.1 / 0.11. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-22T10:30:08+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T10:28:57.770719Z

Keep the investment thesis separate

A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.

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