Yes0.3%
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Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Provider end date; confirm observation window in the rules.
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What actually has to happen?
A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
THE MARKET’S VIEW
Two outcomes. One precise question.
No99.8%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.002 / 0.003. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T09:45:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T09:32:58.07264Z
Keep the investment thesis separate
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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