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Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027?

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.

Provider end date 1 Feb 2027Liquidity $442Lifetime volume $376Source Polymarket

Contract resolution rules

AI-assisted explanation

Predicts whether OpenAI releases GPT Astra 6.1+ to the general public between Jan 25 and Jan 31, 2027 (ET). Resolves Yes if a qualifying model launches publicly within that window; No otherwise. Primary resolution source is official OpenAI information, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Conditions for a winning outcome

A release qualifies if it occurs on a calendar date (ET) from Jan 25 through Jan 31, 2027, and involves an OpenAI model designated version 6.1 or higher with "Astra" in its name or identifier (any capitalization, prefixes, suffixes, or descriptors allowed). The model must be publicly accessible via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, either clearly announced by OpenAI as generally available or explicitly labeled on OpenAI's official website as accessible.

Exclusions and exceptions

Releases outside Jan 25–Jan 31, 2027 (ET) resolve No, including any GPT Astra 6.1+ launch before Jan 25 or on/after Feb 1, 2027. GPT-6 Astra (any rollout, promotion, Pro/Fast mode, or snapshot), tier-labeled models (e.g., GPT-5.6 Sol/Terra/Luna and successors), and task-specific lines (e.g., GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime) never qualify. Closed beta or private access does not qualify. Placeholder text or version names on the website that do not correspond to an actually accessible model do not qualify.

Timing & resolution

The market's provider end date is 2027-02-01T04:59:00Z. The qualifying release window is January 25 through January 31, 2027, measured by calendar date in ET. A release on Jan 31, 2027 (ET) qualifies; the provider end date is not itself the resolution window.

Ambiguities in the rules

The rules do not specify how a release occurring exactly at Jan 31 23:59 ET that becomes publicly accessible at Jan 31 23:59 ET but is formally announced after midnight ET is treated; the rules tie resolution to the calendar date (ET) on which the model is made available to the general public, but do not define "made available" as announcement time versus first public access time. The rules do not clarify whether an official OpenAI blog post naming a model as "GPT Astra 6.1" that is not yet accessible at the time of announcement counts as the release date or merely the announcement date.

AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.

Original resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome prices and implied probabilities

Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.

Yes4.0%
4.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No96.0%
96.00¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.003 / 0.077. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-24T17:00:09+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-24T16:58:39.364457Z

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