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Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 18 and January 24, 2027?
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Market resolves Yes if OpenAI releases a GPT Astra 6.1+ model to the general public between Jan 18 and Jan 24, 2027 (ET). No otherwise.
Conditions for a winning outcome
A Yes resolution requires an OpenAI model designated version 6.1 or higher with "Astra" in its name or identifier (any capitalization, prefixes, suffixes). It must be publicly accessible via open beta or open rolling waitlist, clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI, or publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on OpenAI's official website. Placeholder text or labels not matching an actually accessible model do not qualify.
Exclusions and exceptions
No resolution occurs if no qualifying model is released in the window, if only a closed beta or private access exists, if the model is version 6.0 or lower (e.g., GPT-6 Astra), if it is a tier-labeled model (e.g., GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, Luna or successors), or if it is a task-specific/modality line (e.g., GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime).
Timing & resolution
2027-01-25T04:59:00Z
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity. The market resolves by ET calendar date; the provider end date in UTC corresponds exactly to ET 23:59 on Jan 24, which is the end of the window. Official information from OpenAI is the primary resolution source; credible reporting provides additional verification, with no conflict in priority.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.002 / 0.005. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-24T15:00:13+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-24T14:58:38.542771Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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