Yes15.0%
Geopolitics Open at last refresh
Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?
Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
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What actually has to happen?
A reviewed plain-language explanation is not available for these terms yet. The full provider wording is shown below.
Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Ukraine lowers the minimum military conscription age between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The change must be confirmed through an official government announcement, legislation, or decree.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
THE MARKET’S VIEW
Two outcomes. One precise question.
No85.0%
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.14 / 0.16. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-22T09:45:08+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-22T09:44:58.487592Z
Keep the investment thesis separate
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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