Artificial intelligence Open at last refresh
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if North Carolina enacts a qualifying statewide data center moratorium law or constitutional provision between market creation and the deadline; otherwise No. Enactment means becoming law by signature, veto override, without signature, referendum approval, or another lawful mechanism. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or a delayed effective date does not change the result.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must generally prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers statewide, or a subset including all with requested or nameplate interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition is the default, not permission subject to restrictions. Suspension until a condition is met qualifies. The provision must be mandatory on its face; a conditional trigger must be objectively determinable and not deferred to agency findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings.
Exclusions and exceptions
Tax incentive, exemption certification, or economic development award suspensions alone do not qualify. Neither do local or geographically limited moratoriums; executive or agency orders or other nonstatutory, nonconstitutional measures; or statutes merely authorizing a discretionary moratorium. Legislative passage or a Governor's intent to sign is insufficient. The operative text at enactment controls: provisions amended out before enactment, or removed by line-item veto without an override of that item, do not qualify.
Timing & resolution
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2028, 04:59 UTC). Enactment, not effectiveness, must occur by then. For referendums, use the approval election day reflected in certified results, regardless of certification or effective date.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity is apparent. Official North Carolina state government information is the primary resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.16 / 0.17. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
Explore more artificial intelligence →