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Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if North Carolina enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium during the market window; otherwise No. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, voter approval, or another lawful enactment mechanism. Official North Carolina information is primary, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must generally prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW requested or nameplate interconnection capacity per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default, rather than permission subject to restrictions. Suspension until a condition is met qualifies. A conditional statutory mandate qualifies only if its trigger is objectively determinable and not left to agency findings, certifications, or completion of agency proceedings.
Exclusions and exceptions
Local or geographically limited measures; suspensions solely of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards; nonstatutory executive or agency orders; and mere authorization for an agency or Governor to impose a moratorium do not qualify. Legislative passage or intent to sign is insufficient. Text removed before enactment, including by line-item veto unless overridden, does not count. The operative text at enactment controls. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or delayed effectiveness does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Timing & resolution
From market creation through June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 03:59 UTC). Enactment, not effectiveness, controls. Voter-approved measures count on election day as reflected in certified results, even if certification occurs later.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity in the core criteria. The rules do not define what constitutes a consensus of credible reporting or name particular reporting outlets; such reporting is not limited to cases where official information is unavailable.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.1 / 0.11. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:56:06.238052Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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