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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium between market creation and the deadline; otherwise No. Enactment means becoming law through signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, referendum approval, or another legal enactment mechanism. The enactment date, not the effective date, controls.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The measure must mandatorily prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW of requested or nameplate interconnection capacity per facility. Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default, rather than conditional permission. Suspension until a condition is satisfied qualifies. A conditional trigger must be objectively determinable and cannot depend on the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its proceedings.
Exclusions and exceptions
Local or partial-state measures; suspensions only of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards; executive, agency, or other nonstatutory/nonconstitutional measures; and discretionary authority to impose a moratorium do not qualify. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment or removed by line-item veto do not count unless that veto is overridden. The text at enactment controls. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or a later effective date does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Timing & resolution
December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2029, 04:59 UTC). Voter-approved measures count on the approving election day shown in certified results, regardless of later certification or effectiveness.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity is apparent. Official Louisiana state-government information is the primary resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Specific publications are not named.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.19 / 0.2. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
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