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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers during the market window; otherwise No. Enactment includes signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, referendum approval, or another lawful enactment mechanism. Later nonimplementation, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or a delayed effective date does not undo qualification.
Conditions for a winning outcome
A binding statewide measure must generally suspend or prohibit approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW interconnection capacity (requested or nameplate). Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition is the default, rather than permission subject to restrictions. A suspension until a condition is satisfied qualifies. The operative text at enactment must mandate the moratorium. A conditional trigger must be objectively determinable and not deferred to agency findings, certifications, or completion of its proceedings.
Exclusions and exceptions
Executive or agency orders and other nonstatutory, nonconstitutional measures do not qualify, regardless of legal force. Nor do local or partial-state moratoriums; suspending only tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards; or laws merely authorizing a discretionary moratorium. Legislative passage or a Governor's announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment or removed by line-item veto do not qualify unless the item veto is overridden.
Timing & resolution
From market creation through December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2028, 04:59 UTC). Enactment, not effectiveness, controls. Voter measures count on approval election day per certified results, regardless of certification or effective date.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity identified. Official Louisiana state-government information is the primary resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.12 / 0.13. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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