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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolves No. Enactment controls even if implementation fails or the law is later invalidated, repealed, expires, or takes effect after the deadline.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The enacted text must mandate a default suspension or prohibition of approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW interconnection capacity (requested or nameplate, per facility). Specific exemptions are allowed. Suspension until a condition is met qualifies. A condition triggering suspension must be objectively determinable, not deferred to agency findings, certifications, or proceedings. Enactment includes signature, veto override, law without signature, or another lawful mechanism. Voter approval counts on election day as reflected in certified results.
Exclusions and exceptions
Tax-incentive, exemption-certification, or economic-development-award suspensions alone do not qualify. Neither do local or geographically limited moratoriums; executive or agency orders or other nonstatutory, nonconstitutional measures; or laws merely authorizing a discretionary moratorium. Allowing data centers subject to conditions or restrictions is not a default prohibition. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment, or removed by line-item veto without an override for that item, do not count. A suspension trigger deferred to agency findings, certifications, or completion of proceedings does not qualify.
Timing & resolution
June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027, at 03:59 UTC), inclusive, starting at market creation. Enactment date—not effective date—controls; referendum approval uses election day regardless of later certification or effectiveness.
Ambiguities in the rules
No material ambiguity is apparent. Official Louisiana state government information is the primary resolution source, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used; the rules do not require official information to be unavailable first.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.1 / 0.11. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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