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Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.

Provider end date 1 Jul 2027Liquidity $32.6kLifetime volume $104.6kSource Polymarket

Contract resolution rules

AI-assisted explanation

Resolves Yes if Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolves No. Enactment controls even if implementation fails or the law is later invalidated, repealed, expires, or takes effect after the deadline.

Conditions for a winning outcome

The enacted text must mandate a default suspension or prohibition of approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW interconnection capacity (requested or nameplate, per facility). Specific exemptions are allowed. Suspension until a condition is met qualifies. A condition triggering suspension must be objectively determinable, not deferred to agency findings, certifications, or proceedings. Enactment includes signature, veto override, law without signature, or another lawful mechanism. Voter approval counts on election day as reflected in certified results.

Exclusions and exceptions

Tax-incentive, exemption-certification, or economic-development-award suspensions alone do not qualify. Neither do local or geographically limited moratoriums; executive or agency orders or other nonstatutory, nonconstitutional measures; or laws merely authorizing a discretionary moratorium. Allowing data centers subject to conditions or restrictions is not a default prohibition. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment, or removed by line-item veto without an override for that item, do not count. A suspension trigger deferred to agency findings, certifications, or completion of proceedings does not qualify.

Timing & resolution

June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 2027, at 03:59 UTC), inclusive, starting at market creation. Enactment date—not effective date—controls; referendum approval uses election day regardless of later certification or effectiveness.

Ambiguities in the rules

No material ambiguity is apparent. Official Louisiana state government information is the primary resolution source, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used; the rules do not require official information to be unavailable first.

AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.

Original resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Louisiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome prices and implied probabilities

Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.

Yes10.5%
10.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout
No89.5%
89.50¢ indicative price per $1 winning payout

Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.1 / 0.11. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.

Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z

Event contracts and stock returns

A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.

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