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Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Yes if Missouri enacts a statutory or constitutional statewide moratorium meeting the rules during the qualifying window; otherwise No. Enactment, not the effective date, controls. Later failure to implement, judicial invalidation, repeal, expiry, or a delayed effective date does not undo a qualifying enactment.
Conditions for a winning outcome
A mandatory statewide prohibition or suspension of approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation must cover all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW interconnection capacity per facility (requested or nameplate). Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition remains the default. Suspension pending a condition can qualify. Enactment includes signature, veto override, law without signature, or any other lawful enactment mechanism. For voter-approved measures, election day controls if approval is reflected in certified results, regardless of certification or effective date. The text at enactment controls.
Exclusions and exceptions
Excluded: local or geographically limited moratoriums; suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone; executive or agency orders and other nonstatutory, nonconstitutional measures; discretionary authorization to impose a moratorium; and permission subject to restrictions rather than default prohibition. A conditional suspension qualifies only if its trigger is objectively determinable, not deferred to agency findings, certifications, or proceedings. Legislative passage or announced intent to sign is insufficient. Provisions amended out before enactment or removed by line-item veto do not count unless that veto is overridden.
Timing & resolution
From market creation through December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET (January 1, 2028, at 04:59 UTC). Enactment must occur within this window; the effective date may be later.
Ambiguities in the rules
Official Missouri state information is the primary resolution source, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used without an express fallback restriction. The rules do not define the required consensus or credibility standard. No other material ambiguity is apparent.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.11 / 0.12. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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