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Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
Screened using the explicit question date; payout timing still follows the rules.
Contract resolution rules
Yes if Missouri enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a qualifying statewide moratorium between market creation and the deadline; otherwise No. Signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, voter approval, or other lawful enactment mechanisms count. Later nonimplementation, invalidation, repeal or expiry does not undo qualification. Official Missouri information is primary; consensus credible reporting may also be used.
Conditions for a winning outcome
The binding measure must generally suspend or prohibit approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection or operation statewide for all new data centers, or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW interconnection capacity per facility (requested or nameplate). Specific exemptions are allowed if prohibition is the default, rather than permission subject to restrictions. Suspension until a condition is satisfied qualifies. The provision must be mandatory on its face. A conditional trigger must be objectively determinable, not deferred to implementing-agency findings, certifications or completion of its proceedings.
Exclusions and exceptions
Tax-incentive, exemption-certification or economic-development-award suspensions alone do not count, nor do local or geographically limited moratoria. Executive orders, agency orders and other nonstatutory/nonconstitutional measures do not count, regardless of legal force. Mere authority for an agency or Governor to impose a moratorium is insufficient. Legislative passage or an announced intent to sign is not enactment. Text removed before enactment does not count; a line-item-vetoed provision counts only if that item's veto is overridden. The operative text at enactment controls.
Timing & resolution
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET (July 1, 03:59 UTC). Enactment, not effectiveness, controls. Voter-approved measures count on election day as reflected in certified results, regardless of later certification or effectiveness.
Ambiguities in the rules
The rules do not define "data center" or the standard for a "consensus of credible reporting." The capacity coverage requirement is explicit: the covered subset must include all new facilities above 100 MW per facility, using requested or nameplate interconnection capacity.
AI-assisted explanation of this version of the source rules. It does not replace the provider’s terms.
Original resolution rules
Outcome prices and implied probabilities
Compare the quoted price for each outcome. The amounts below assume a $1 payout for a winning share.
Prices describe trading, not certainty or an independent forecast. Bid / ask for the first outcome: 0.1 / 0.11. Market liquidity is not guaranteed fill size.
Fetched 2026-10-23T13:00:10+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-23T12:58:05.66909Z
Event contracts and stock returns
A company’s share price, this event’s probability and the return on an event contract answer different questions. A correct company thesis can still miss a contract’s deadline or its exact conditions.
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